The Vietnam Analogy, unexpected quarters dept. by mattsteinglass
May 6, 2008, 10:10 am
Filed under: Iraq, United States, Vietnam

Here’s a rock solid analysis:

A parallel with the Iraq War suggests that escalation of a conflict and higher intensity of combat operations do not necessarily produce a victory – even a half-a-million-strong contingent failed to succeed in Vietnam. Transfer of initiative to the local allies does not help, either – usually they quickly get bogged down in internal strife and corruption, and lose to any more or less organized force. A victory in such a war can only be achieved by a simultaneous skilful combination of political, economic, and military measures; a model of development understandable to the local population is a necessary, albeit insufficient guarantee of success. The United States did not have such a model in Vietnam thirty years ago. Nor does it have one in Iraq. The results of these wars will only differ in the number of human losses.

Kicker? That’s by RIA-Novosti (Russian) military analyst Ilya Kramnik. And he’s not gloating, or anything. Just observing the lessons any intelligent person would draw from the US’s experience in Vietnam, the Soviet experience in Afghanistan, etc.


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